Q: I met Dennis Spivack briefly at yesterdays Moveon event in Wilmington. Did a google search and found your blog. Does Spivack have a good chance to beat Castle?
A: Spivack is a long shot, but he can make it close and maybe win if these two things happen. 1) Bush must continue to suck. (check)
2) Michael Newbold Castle must be tied to Bush everyday.
Dems enjoy the registration advantage here in delaware and while there have been a great many ticket splitting dems when it came to Castle in the past - Rove has put an end to that kind of politics.
If Spivack can break into the news throwing some scorn on Bush/Castle on an ongoing basis, he has a real shot. Right now I put him at about 45% vs. Castle and continue to hope for him to find his voice.PS To The Spivack Campaign:
Maybe you are calling Castle out on his votes on press releases to the NJ and Delaware State News and they are not running them. If so let me know, and by the way - I'd run them.