Johnathan Singer at MYDD writes: Almost immediately after Mark Foley's resignation, Newsweek's Howard Fineman publicly speculated about the potential ramifications of the scandal, noting that it could have seriously negative effects not only on Republican turnout but also on the Republican turnout machine, which relies heavily on religious conservative activists as its foot soldiers. Judging by data from the latest Pew poll, Fineman appears to be correct in his assessment, as Alan Cooperman reports for The Washington Post:
"A small shift in the loyalty of conservative Christian voters could spell trouble for the GOP this fall. (snip) Even before the Foley scandal, the portion of white evangelicals with a "favorable" impression of the Republican Party had fallen sharply this year, from 63 percent to 54 percent, according to Pew polls.
In the latest survey, taken in the last 10 days of September and the first four days of October, the percentage of evangelicals who think that Republicans govern "in a more honest and ethical way" than Democrats has plunged to 42 percent, from 55 percent at the start of the year."
Delaware's white evangelical or born-again Christians are not a huge block - however they have had a big GOTV impact in Sussex. Castle, with his animosity toward frozen snow-flake baby cells, was never a darling of that group - but if they stay on the sidelines it is bad news for him and down ticket Sussex R's.