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Tuesday, August 29, 2006

 

What are the real chances that the Dems will take the House?

We all have gut feelings about the answer to that question, don't we? We all want our team to win. But emotions can cloud our judgment. For example, I could be reading too much into Stu Rothenberg's statement that "the only question is how big will the Democratic wave be?"

So - all emotion aside. What are the facts? Where can you go to get a straight answer to the question - will the Democrats take over Congress?

I like to turn to the British bettors who have the purest of pure motives when considering question like this: making money. The bettors at Tradesports have NO feelings or emotions bound up in the outcome of the elections what-so-ever. So where is the smart money headed?


alt="Price for Republican Party 2006 Mid Term Election Control at TradeSports.com"
title="Price for Republican Party 2006 Mid Term Election Control at TradeSports.com" border="0">


I look at the trendline of that graph and I think, "Speaker Pelosi".

Comments:
JUST SPOTTED: Tom Carper on the back porch of the Newark Brew Ha Ha being interviewed. No coffee, just bottled water for Tommy. What a dope, the coffee's excellent!
 
http://homepage.mac.com/rlmorel/.Public/rove.jpg
 
Thanks NTF,

More proof that conservatives are not funny.
 
I think I'm pretty funny, Jason.
 
I am concerned that if it is close....then the scales may tip to the hackers side....
 
Donvit,

I know whaty you mean. All these close elections and the computer voting don't have not been good for my faith in the system.
 
is trade sports posting the line on the individual races?

wht's the Castle contract selling for?
 
It has some indivual races. Not the Spivack Castle race.
 
Carper is at 98.7 percent.
 
Tradesports is an Irish company, not a British one
 
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