We all have gut feelings about the answer to that question, don't we? We all want our team to win. But emotions can cloud our judgment. For example, I could be reading too much into Stu Rothenberg's statement that "the only question is how big will the Democratic wave be?"
So - all emotion aside. What are the facts? Where can you go to get a straight answer to the question - will the Democrats take over Congress?
I like to turn to the British bettors who have the purest of pure motives when considering question like this: making money.
The bettors at Tradesports have NO feelings or emotions bound up in the outcome of the elections what-so-ever. So where is the smart money headed?
alt="Price for Republican Party 2006 Mid Term Election Control at TradeSports.com"
title="Price for Republican Party 2006 Mid Term Election Control at TradeSports.com" border="0">
I look at the trendline of that graph and I think, "Speaker Pelosi".